Wednesday, March 24, 2010

Interest rates may rise sooner than expected


Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney acknowledged today that inflation is running hotter than he had predicted, and emphasized the central bank’s commitment to containing price increases, a combination of fact and nuance that increases the odds of an interest rate increase within the next few months.

The measure of inflation the central bank uses as a guide to where overall prices are headed touched 2.1% in February, a pace the Bank of Canada was not expecting until at least the second half of 2010.

“Core inflation has been slightly firmer than projected,” Carney said in the text of his speech to the Ottawa Economics Association.

Some economists have dismissed the stronger core rate as the result of temporary factors, such as a surge in hotel costs related to the Vancouver Olympics. Carney agreed that some of the increase is the result of “transitory factors”, but also said that a “higher level of economic activity” is also playing a role, suggesting policymakers are taking the jump in the core rate seriously.

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